Fig. 4: Difference in future changes between rare and common extremes. | Communications Earth & Environment

Fig. 4: Difference in future changes between rare and common extremes.

From: Rarest rainfall events will see the greatest relative increase in magnitude under future climate change

Fig. 4

Difference in weighted mean change for the 100- and 1-year return levels between the historical and future SSP scenarios a 1-2.6, b 2-4.5, c, 3-7.0 and d 5-8.5. Panel d is the difference of Fig. 2c and a. A positive change indicates that the 100-year return levels will increase relatively more than the 1-year return level (Eq. (3)). The hatching represents areas where more than 75% of the models agree on the sign of change. Dry areas (weighted mean of less than 3 events per year) are masked in grey.

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