Table 1 Scenarios to explain Late Oligocene trends in SST and deep sea δ18O.

From: Strength and variability of the Oligocene Southern Ocean surface temperature gradient

Scenario

Antarctic proximal SST

Subtropical SST

Deep ocean δ18O

Evaluation

Observations from the Late Oligocene proxy data

Cooling

Stable/slight warming

Decreasing

Target

1. pCO2 decrease

Cooling

Cooling

Increasing

Failure

2. Antarctic Ice Sheet expansion

Cooling

Stable/slight cooling

Increasing

Failure

3. Deepening of oceanic gateways and Antarctic ice loss

Cooling

Stable

Decreasing

Success