Fig. 8: The factor analysis for sea ice volume in the potentially affected region.

a Factor loadings and variance (contributes to each mode 1-3). b Principal component 1 (PC1, blue line) and sea ice flux divergence (calculated in the region where the factor loading of mode 1 is larger than 0.5, red line). c Principal component 2 (PC2, blue line) and area of the TNBP (red line). d Principal component 3 (PC3). e Correlation coefficient between sea ice thickness and PC3. The yellow box in (a) and (e) is the potentially affected region, and the grey line shows the mean position of the TNBP. A 30-day window smooth is done for (b–d).