Table 3 Ensemble statistics of plant-level physical climate risk-induced generation losses by generation type and by cooling technology.
Plant type | Plant count | Baseline | 2030 RCP4.5 | 2030 RCP8.5 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Median | p5 | p95 | Median | p5 | p95 | Median | p5 | p95 | ||
Fuel-Turbine | ||||||||||
Coal-Steam | 13 | 0.11% | 0.07% | 1.60% | 1.73% | 0.13% | 11.76% | 2.10% | 0.14% | 11.93% |
CCGT | 6 | 0.10% | 0.07% | 0.17% | 0.76% | 0.30% | 3.65% | 0.72% | 0.32% | 3.75% |
Cooling | ||||||||||
Once-through | 9 | 0.67% | 0.45% | 1.66% | 2.53% | 1.17% | 8.16% | 2.78% | 1.16% | 8.83% |
Recirculating | 11 | 0.10% | 0.05% | 0.15% | 1.09% | 0.13% | 11.79% | 0.95% | 0.14% | 11.97% |
Dry | 4 | 0.07% | 0.04% | 0.16% | 0.31% | 0.14% | 0.41% | 0.34% | 0.14% | 0.48% |
