Table 1 Scenario results in comparison to the base year.

From: Emission pathways and mitigation options for achieving consumption-based climate targets in Sweden

 

Absolute greenhouse gas emissions, incl. non-CO2 effects [million tons CO2e]

Greenhouse gas emissions per capita, incl. non-CO2 effects [tons CO2e]

Absolute greenhouse gas emissions, excl. non-CO2 effects [million tons CO2e]

Greenhouse gas emissions per capita, excl. non-CO2 effects [tons CO2e]

Base year (2010)

108.5

11.5

106.2

11.3

Scenarios (2045)

Reference

86.8 (20%)

7.5 (35%)

80.9 (24%)

7.0 (38%)

Achieving territorial targets

43.0–72.9 (33–60%)

3.7–6.3 (45–68%)

39.8-67.6 (36–63%)

3.4–5.8 (48–70%)

Advanced technology and behavioral changes

31.1–55.3 (49–71%)

2.7–4.8 (59–77%)

29.9-53.3 (50–72%)

2.6–4.6 (59–77%)

Reference with behavioral changes

66.0 (39%)

5.7 (51%)

64.2 (40%)

5.5 (51%)

  1. Absolute greenhouse gas emissions and greenhouse gas emissions per capita, with and without non-CO2 effects of combustion at high altitudes, for the base year (2010) as well as for each scenario in the year 2045. The emission reductions in 2045 compared to 2010 are provided in parentheses. The emission reductions relevant to compare with the proposed targets are highlighted in bold. Note that the range indicated represents the uncertainty in the global climate transition, where the higher level represents current trends and policies, and the lower level represents a global climate transition in line with the Paris Agreement’s goals.
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