Fig. 1: Simulated temperature anomaly in RCP8.5, CCT, MCB and SAI from 2006–2026.

Anomaly in (a) mean (Tmean), (b) maximum (TXx) and (c) minimum (TNn) land temperature north of 50°N (y-axis) compared to the global mean temperature (Tglob) anomaly over land and ocean (x-axis). The anomalies are respective to the mean of RCP8.5 from 2006–2026 and are shown for RCP8.5 (grey), RCP4.5 (black), CCT (lime), MCB (red) and SAI (blue). The lines represent the respective ensemble mean. The ensemble spread is shaded. The hatched line represents the 1:1 line.