Table 1 Exceedance probability of the most extreme historical CHD per region under present climate conditions and global warming levels of 2 °C and 3 °C given in %

From: European hot and dry summers are projected to become more frequent and expand northwards

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  1. pSK corresponds to the bivariate exceedance probability of hot and dry conditions, whereas ptas and ppr refer to the univariate exceedance probabilities in temperature and precipitation, respectively. Probabilities above 5%, equalling return periods below 20 years, are marked in bold.