Fig. 2: Percentage of correct prediction of Chill Portions and Chill Hours category during the November-December-January-February season total out of total predictions from 1993 to 2015 for multimodel forecasts.
From: Seasonal climate forecasts show skill in predicting winter chill for specialty crops in California
The first row includes CP forecasts at lead times of (a) 1-month, (b) 1–4-months, (c) 2–5-months, and (d) 3–6-months. The second row contains CH forecasts at lead times of (e) 1-month, (f) 1–4-months, (g) 2–5-months, and (h) 3–6-months. The predictions were categorized into above-normal, normal, and below-normal categories for the standardized normal variate (SNV) of Chill Portions in a particular year above 1, between −1 and 1, and less than 1. The SNV of CP (CH) was calculated by subtracting mean of CP (CH) and dividing by the standard deviation of CP (CH).
