Fig. 2: Changes in the occurrence of the seven grass species between the present and the future predicted by the RF model.

a C. ciliaris, b T. triandra, c C. dactylon, d C. plectostachyus, e D. macroblephara, f D. milanjiana, and g C. mezianus. The upward-pointing black triangle indicates the location of Mount Kenya, and the downward-pointing one marks Mount Kilimanjaro. The grey, beige, pink and green shaded areas indicate absence, no change, range contraction (species disappear from area) and range expansion (species invade area), respectively, for each species under future climate conditions. For more details see Section “Species data and species distribution models”. For the BRT model, see Supplementary Fig. S2.