Table 1 Climate shock scenario design
From: Variable renewable energy pathways in the Lower Mekong Basin under projected river flow extremes
Scenario name | Severity | Scenario description |
|---|---|---|
Normal conditions | / | Represents baseline streamflow conditions, directly sampled from a distribution fitted to historical data. Assumes future streamflow will remain fully consistent with historical patterns. |
EPLFs (Extended Periods of Low Flows) | • 100-year • 1,000-year • 10,000-year | Simulates drought conditions by sampling from a shifted distribution based on historical low-flow events. Assumes future streamflow will experience severe droughts with different return periods. |
EPHFs (Extended Periods of High Flows) | • 100-year • 1,000-year • 10,000-year | Simulates extreme high-flow (flood) conditions with different return periods. |