Fig. 2: Seasonal forecasts of paleo-climate heatwaves across Europe.
From: Feature selection for data-driven seasonal forecasts of European heatwaves
Optimised seasonal forecast skill (N-RMSE) of seasonal European heatwave indicators (MJJ NDQ90) using data from a paleoclimate simulation for the training period (a, 0–1600) and optimisation test period (b, 1601–1850). Each point represents the optimal forecast skill based on the point-specific optimisation of predictors (e.g. Fig. 1). The locations corresponding to the good and poor skill examples from Fig. 1 are represented by a square and a circle, respectively.
