Fig. 5: Goodness-of-fit comparison among the different model parameters.
From: Climatic signatures in the different COVID-19 pandemic waves across both hemispheres

Comparison of the compartmental process-based model fits for the different regions, periods and parameters used. a, The mean squared error for the models fitted to the data across all periods and for each of the regions. The values corresponding to the models with the temperature-dependent transmission rate β are highlighted in green. b, The model predicted curves (in green) corresponding to the mean of 100 stochastic simulations are compared to the seven-day rolling mean of reported daily new cases in each region (in gray).