Fig. 3: Projected hospital occupancy and GDP for all scenarios and hospital capacity constraints.
From: Optimizing social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission using DAEDALUS
a, Scenarios A (GDP maximization), LDA and FO. b, Scenarios B (education open), LDB and FO. In scenario FO, all sectors are open at pre-pandemic levels. In all scenarios, including FO, stringent NPIs and self-protective behavior reduce transmission. The three gray horizontal lines represent alternate values of H. GDP is aggregated over six months. In scenario A, any economic sector—including education—may close to 80% of the observed minimum levels. In LDA, all economic sectors close to the observed minima. In scenario B, the education sector is operational at 80% throughout, and all other sectors may close to the observed minima. In LDB, all economic sectors close to the observed minima except for the education sector, which is operational at 80%.
