Extended Data Fig. 4: More areas will experience increases than decreases in the probability of exceeding the microcystin drinking water guideline for children (0.3 μg/L) under projected warming. | Nature Water

Extended Data Fig. 4: More areas will experience increases than decreases in the probability of exceeding the microcystin drinking water guideline for children (0.3 μg/L) under projected warming.

From: Geographic redistribution of microcystin hotspots in response to climate warming

Extended Data Fig. 4: More areas will experience increases than decreases in the probability of exceeding the microcystin drinking water guideline for children (0.3 μg/L) under projected warming.The alt text for this image may have been generated using AI.

Frequency distribution of percentage relative changes in exceedance probabilities for (a) HUC6 basins and (b) HUC2 regions. Panels show the relative increase (positive) or decrease (negative) in exceedance probabilities due to warming relative to the historic period (1950–1979), averaged across lakes (a) within individual HUC6 basins and (b) HUC2 regions, for present (1990–2019), projected mid-century (2030–2059) and projected late-century (2070–2099) summertime temperatures. Colours are the same as in Fig. 6.

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