Extended Data Fig. 8: Regional ENSO effects including outliers.

Similar to Fig. 1, but expanded to include MEI = +3. a, The top row shows the ENSO variable isolated from the first three climatology variables in equation (1). The ENSO effect is presented as anomalies in logarithm space, as in the model (equation (1)). b, The bottom row shows the ENSO effect as precipitation anomalies (mm) from neutral ENSO conditions (MEI = 0). Brown colours represent drier than typical, while green represents wetter than typical.