Extended Data Fig. 4: Trends in glacier thinning versus trends in the area of burst ice-dammed lakes (n = 101).
From: Progressively smaller glacier lake outburst floods despite worldwide growth in lake area
a, Annual glacier elevation change (mean and one standard deviation error) (ref. 30) plotted against the decadal change in lake area. For visualisation, we show the median trend in lake area (bubbles) and trimmed the posterior distribution to the 68% HDI (lines) to maintain consistency with the data on glacier elevation change. Note, however, that we deem a trend significant if the 95% HDI excludes zero. b, Lake area grouped by credibly decreasing, unchanged, and increasing trends with respect to glacier elevation change. Boxplots summarise the median (thick horizontal line), the interquartile range (box) and 1.5 times of the interquartile range (whiskers) of the annual glacier elevation change, grouped by the trend in the pre-GLOF lake areas of the associate ice-dammed lake. Dots are so-called outliers beyond the whiskers.
