Fig. 2: Area under the ROC Curve (AUC) of the climate-burned area model. | npj Natural Hazards

Fig. 2: Area under the ROC Curve (AUC) of the climate-burned area model.

From: Enhancing seasonal fire predictions with hybrid dynamical and random forest models

Fig. 2

Panels a and b correspond to the periods December–January–February (DJF) and June–July–August (JJA), respectively, when the model is fed with observations. Panels c and d show the same periods, but the model is fed with seasonal forecasts. The grid points in orange indicate non-significant AUC values (p-value ≥ 0.01). The white color considers those grid points where the seasonal burned area equals zero in less than half of the available period (i.e., BA = 0 in <10 out of 20 years). This figure was generated using R software, version 4.3.1.

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