Fig. 1: Observed extreme rainfall for a 24-h duration and fitted GEV distribution (excluding the record-breaking event during the fitting) for a station located northwest of Houston, Texas. | npj Natural Hazards

Fig. 1: Observed extreme rainfall for a 24-h duration and fitted GEV distribution (excluding the record-breaking event during the fitting) for a station located northwest of Houston, Texas.

From: Record-breaking rainfall: a stochastic approach for its prediction

Fig. 1: Observed extreme rainfall for a 24-h duration and fitted GEV distribution (excluding the record-breaking event during the fitting) for a station located northwest of Houston, Texas.

The shaded area shows the 5–95th confidence interval for the GEV obtained from 103 bootstraps. The observed 24-h maximum rainfall (408.4 mm) recorded on August 26, 2017, during Hurricane Harvey, is shown as a representative record-breaking event according to the plotting position method (Weibull formula), which is unlikely to represent the true return period of this event.

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