Fig. 2: Relative contributions of individual determinants, namely population growth and aging, changes in baseline mortality rate, and changes in PM2.5 exposure (BAU and 2°C-WS) on the change in premature deaths under the two air pollution emission pathways (top panel).
From: Air pollution health and economic co-benefits of keeping warming below 2 °C in India
The individual effect of each socio-demographic determinant is denoted by different colors. A positive change indicates that the individual determinant will increase in magnitude by mid-century and could elevate the attributable premature deaths, assuming other determinants remain unchanged at their baseline estimate, and vice-versa. The bottom panel shows the net changes in aggregated premature deaths under the BAU and 2°C-WS pathways relative to the estimates for the base year 2015. The assessment for ambient PM2.5 attributable DALYs is documented in Fig. S3. The aggregated premature deaths (in thousands) and DALYs (in thousands) are documented in supplementary Table S2.
