Table 2 Cause- and age-specific mortality models at the county level in the US, 2009–2019
From: Heat and air pollution shape divergent mortality patterns across rural and urban United States
Variables | Cardiovascular mortality | Chronic respiratory mortality | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0–1 | 1–14 | 15–64 | 65+ | 0–1 | 1–14 | 15–64 | 65+ | |
Temperature | 0.022*** | −0.004*** | 0.848*** | −10.807*** | 0.003** | 0.001*** | 0.336*** | 2.907*** |
PM2.5 | 0.028*** | −0.005*** | 0.011 | −3.340*** | −0.006*** | −0.007*** | −0.326*** | -3.349*** |
Temperature2 * PM2.5 * Rural | 7e−5** | 4e−5*** | −0.006*** | 0.058*** | −3e−5*** | −3e−6* | −0.002*** | −0.027*** |
Temperature2 * PM2.5 * Urban | -7e−5** | 3e−5*** | −0.001*** | 0.041*** | −2e−5*** | 4e−6*** | −2e−4*** | −0.011*** |
Household income | 0.001 | 2e−4*** | −0.059*** | -0.758*** | −5e−4** | −5e−4*** | −0.039*** | -0.398*** |
% College | −0.023*** | −0.001*** | −0.099*** | −2.301*** | −0.004*** | −0.001*** | −0.007* | -0.603*** |
% Health insurance | −0.004** | −3e−4*** | 0.117*** | −2.824*** | −3e-4 | −2e−5 | 0.091*** | -0.236*** |
% Poverty | −0.016*** | −3e−4*** | −0.012 | 0.340 | −0.002*** | −6e−5 | 2e−4 | 0.070 |
Age-specific population | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Year effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
County effect | Omitted | Omitted | Omitted | Omitted | Omitted | Omitted | Omitted | Omitted |
Constant | 14.431*** | 0.994*** | 85.091*** | 2569.876*** | 2.303*** | 0.649*** | 14.625*** | 594.522*** |
Observations | 33,830 | 33,830 | 33,830 | 33,830 | 33,830 | 33,830 | 33,830 | 33,830 |
R-squared | 0.501 | 0.670 | 0.376 | 0.543 | 0.365 | 0.447 | 0.573 | 0.339 |
Number of counties | 3076 | 3076 | 3076 | 3076 | 3076 | 3076 | 3076 | 3076 |
AIC | 26,326 | −170,918 | 157,458 | 365,233 | −76,733 | −173,706 | 88,751 | 287,824 |
BIC | 26,494 | −170,750 | 157,626 | 365,401 | −76,564 | −173,537 | 88,920 | 287,993 |
