Table 2 Scenario definitions and assumptions used in the analysis

From: Efficient electrification in a warming climate could contribute to keeping energy burdens in check

Scenario

Heating technology

Climate Condition

CHHW

Current

Historic climate

CHFW (Cool)

Current

RCP 4.5 + Low sensitivity models

CHFW (Hot)

Current

RCP 4.5 + High sensitivity models

FHHW

Heat pump

Historic Climate

FHFW (Cool)

Heat pump

RCP 4.5 + Low sensitivity models

FHFW (Hot)

Heat pump

RCP 4.5 + High sensitivity models

  1. Each scenario combines a heating and cooling system configuration (current or future) with a climate condition (historical, future cooler, or future hotter realization under RCP 4.5). The climate scenarios are obtained from41.