Figure 6 | Scientific Reports

Figure 6

From: Evaluating the performance of infectious disease forecasts: A comparison of climate-driven and seasonal dengue forecasts for Mexico

Figure 6The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.

Prediction horizons.

The relative MAEs compared to the constant model (grey line) are shown in transparent lines for all locations at all prediction horizons. Models including only weather covariates are shown in orange, models containing only short-term autocorrelation are shown in red and models containing both short-term autocorrelation and seasonality (using weather variables or seasonal autocorrelation) are shown in blue. The average relative MAE across all locations is shown in solid lines for four key representative models.

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