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Showing 1–10 of 10 results
Advanced filters: Author: Amanda Maycock Clear advanced filters

  • Where will the first signals of climate mitigation emerge? This study finds stratospheric cooling trends, a hallmark of climate change, would weaken within 5-10 years of rapid CO2 reductions, offering early signs the climate system is changing course.

    • Grasiele Romanzini-Bezerra
    • Amanda C. Maycock
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 15, P: 1-6

  • Regional surface climate response to a future decline in solar activity remains uncertain. Here, via numerical simulations, the authors show that a return to Maunder Minimum-like lows by 2050 could lead to some areas of significantly reduced surface warming via modulation of the North Atlantic Oscillation.

    • Sarah Ineson
    • Amanda C. Maycock
    • Richard A. Wood
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 6, P: 1-8

  • GHG mitigation is not likely to be detectable in global mean temperature before mid-century. However, a simple climate emulator and an Earth system model ensemble suggest that strong mitigation greatly decreases the likelihood of high rates of 20-year warming over the next two decades.

    • Christine M. McKenna
    • Amanda C. Maycock
    • Katarzyna B. Tokarska
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 11, P: 126-131

  • Proxy reconstructions show a decreasing trend from the Middle to Late Holocene, which conflicts with model results showing an increasing trend. Statistical analysis of model output shows that these conflicting results originate from two distinct modes of variability, which dominate at different regions and times.

    • Jürgen Bader
    • Johann Jungclaus
    • Martin Claussen
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 11, P: 1-8

  • Many recently updated climate models show greater future warming than previously. Separate lines of evidence suggest that their warming rates may be unrealistically high, but the risk of such eventualities only emphasizes the need for rapid and deep reductions in emissions.

    • Piers M. Forster
    • Amanda C. Maycock
    • Christopher J. Smith
    Comments & Opinion
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 10, P: 7-10

  • In February 2022, a strong stratospheric polar vortex increased the likelihood of intense extratropical cyclones impacting northern Europe, with an 80% higher chance of storm clustering affecting the United Kingdom, according to constrained sub-seasonal forecasts isolating the stratospheric polar vortex’s effect on the North Atlantic storm track.

    • Ryan S. Williams
    • Amanda C. Maycock
    • Inna Polichtchouk
    ResearchOpen Access
    Communications Earth & Environment
    Volume: 6, P: 1-10