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Showing 1–10 of 10 results
Advanced filters: Author: Andries F. Hof Clear advanced filters

  • Benefit-cost analyses of climate policies have generated conflicting assessments; as social welfare is affected by regional heterogeneity. Here the authors show that economically optimal pathways are consistent with climate stabilization but are characterized by persistent economic inequalities due to climate damages.

    • Paolo Gazzotti
    • Johannes Emmerling
    • Massimo Tavoni
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 12, P: 1-10

  • Climate change can affect well-being in poor economies more than previously shown if its effect on economic growth, and not only on current production, is considered. But this result does not necessarily suggest greater mitigation efforts are required.

    • Andries F. Hof
    News & Views
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 5, P: 99-100

  • Fair climate targets aligned with the Paris Agreement can be calculated in multiple ways, yielding diverse outcomes. Researchers unpack how equity, global strategies and political and social uncertainties shape fair share allocations, using them to assess nationally determined contributions and guide global climate finance.

    • Mark M. Dekker
    • Andries F. Hof
    • Detlef P. van Vuuren
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 15, P: 752-759

  • A Sobol attribution analysis unveils the roles of mitigation targets, model differences and scenario assumptions in shaping climate policy scenario outcomes.

    • Mark M. Dekker
    • Andries F. Hof
    • Detlef P. van Vuuren
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature
    Volume: 624, P: 309-316

  • Moving towards net-zero emissions requires carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies, which bring environmental and socioeconomic risks. This study reveals that demand and technological interventions in hard-to-abate sectors help to achieve net-zero targets with less reliance on CDR.

    • Oreane Y. Edelenbosch
    • Andries F. Hof
    • Detlef P. van Vuuren
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 14, P: 715-722

  • Cost-benefit analysis of climate change depends heavily on the damage function used, and it is difficult to get credible information. Multimodel comparison with newly developed bottom-up damage functions indicates the optimal temperature could be much lower than previously estimated.

    • Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst
    • Francesco Bosello
    • Detlef van Vuuren
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 13, P: 434-441

  • Determining attractive response strategies for international climate policy is a complex task. Here, the authors develop a meta-model that disentangles the main uncertainties using full literature ranges and use it to directly compare the insights of the cost-minimising and cost-benefit modelling communities.

    • Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst
    • Andries F. Hof
    • Detlef P. van Vuuren
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 12, P: 1-11

  • Costs of achieving climate targets are uncertain. A metamodel estimates the median costs of limiting warming to 2 °C and 1.5 °C to be US$15 trillion and US$30 trillion. Uncertainty in emissions reductions costs dominates at these levels; climate system uncertainty dominates at higher warming levels.

    • D. P. van Vuuren
    • Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst
    • Chris D. Jones
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 10, P: 329-334

  • Scenarios that constrain warming to 1.5 °C currently place a large emphasis on CO2 removal. Alternative pathways involving lifestyle change, rapid electrification and reduction of non-CO2 gases could reduce the need for such negative emission technologies.

    • Detlef P. van Vuuren
    • Elke Stehfest
    • Mariësse A. E. van Sluisveld
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 8, P: 391-397

  • Although nearly all 2 °C scenarios use negative CO2 emission technologies, only relatively small investments are being made in them, and concerns are being raised regarding their large-scale use. If no explicit policy decisions are taken soon, however, their use will simply be forced on us to meet the Paris climate targets.

    • Detlef P. van Vuuren
    • Andries F. Hof
    • Keywan Riahi
    Comments & Opinion
    Nature Energy
    Volume: 2, P: 902-904