Nature Search

Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals

In order to meet internationally agreed temperature limits, it is important to have a defined baseline. This study shows for low-emission scenarios the likelihood and timing of exceedance are highly dependent on the baseline, as are allowable carbon emissions.

Andrew P. Schurer
Michael E. Mann
Gabriele C. Hegerl
Research24 Jul 2017
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 7, P: 563-567
Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates

Ed Hawkins
Bruce Anderson
Gabriel Vecchi
Research02 Jul 2014
Nature

Volume: 511, P: E3-E5
Scrap rainbow colour scales

Ed Hawkins
Correspondence18 Mar 2015
Nature

Volume: 519, P: 291
GWAS and meta-analysis identifies 49 genetic variants underlying critical COVID-19

An analysis of 24,202 critical cases of COVID-19 identifies potentially druggable targets in inflammatory signalling (JAK1), monocyte–macrophage activation and endothelial permeability (PDE4A), immunometabolism (SLC2A5 and AK5), and host factors required for viral entry and replication (TMPRSS2 and RAB2A).

Erola Pairo-Castineira
Konrad Rawlik
J. Kenneth Baillie
ResearchOpen Access17 May 2023
Nature

Volume: 617, P: 764-768
Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates

The signal to noise ratio of temperature change can be used to determine exposure to unusual, unfamiliar and unknown climates. For large groups of the world’s population, mitigation can delay the onset of unfamiliar or unknown climates by several decades.

Dave Frame
Manoj Joshi
Mairead de Roiste
Research22 May 2017
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 7, P: 407-411
Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming

It is often assumed that each additional degree of global warming impacts regional climate equally. Here, Goodet al. use the CMIP5 archive to show different precipitation changes arise from 0–2 K versus 2–4 K of warming above pre-industrial levels, partly from nonlinearity in underlying physical mechanisms.

Peter Good
Ben B. B. Booth
Jason A. Lowe
ResearchOpen Access06 Dec 2016
Nature Communications

Volume: 7, P: 1-8
Counting the coming storms

Tropical Atlantic storms impact the lives of many thousands of people each year. A study describes how different future anthropogenic emission pathways may change the frequency of these storms.

Ed Hawkins
Pier Luigi Vidale
News & Views27 Jul 2012
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 2, P: 574-575
A model of conceptual bootstrapping in human cognition

Zhao et al. present a model of conceptual bootstrapping through which they model learning complex concepts by recursively combining simpler concepts.

Bonan Zhao
Christopher G. Lucas
Neil R. Bramley
ResearchOpen Access16 Oct 2023
Nature Human Behaviour

Volume: 8, P: 125-136
A control oriented strategy of disruption prediction to avoid the configuration collapse of tokamak reactors

Confining plasma and managing disruptions in tokamak devices is a challenge. Here the authors demonstrate a method predicting and possibly preventing disruptions and macroscopic instabilities in tokamak plasma using data from JET.

Andrea Murari
Riccardo Rossi
Michela Gelfusa
ResearchOpen Access18 Mar 2024
Nature Communications

Volume: 15, P: 1-19
Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth

Energy budget and climate model estimates of transient climate response match when model output is processed in the same manner as an observational record. Removal of observational sampling biases infers an estimate of 1.66 °C, consistent with model estimates.

Mark Richardson
Kevin Cowtan
Martin B. Stolpe
Research27 Jun 2016
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 6, P: 931-935
Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability

Projections of future climate do not typically include the effects of volcanic activity. By incorporating a range of volcanic futures into a coupled model, it is shown that volcanic forcing has quantifiable impacts on the time at which anthropogenic signatures emerge across various climate metrics.

Ingo Bethke
Stephen Outten
Peter Thorne
Research02 Oct 2017
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 7, P: 799-805
Machine learning for diagnosis of myocardial infarction using cardiac troponin concentrations

A clinical decision support system for diagnosis of myocardial infarction, based on machine learning models that use a single measurement of high-sensitivity troponin, outperforms clinical guidelines that use fixed cardiac troponin thresholds for diagnosis.

Dimitrios Doudesis
Kuan Ken Lee
Stephen W. Smith
ResearchOpen Access11 May 2023
Nature Medicine

Volume: 29, P: 1201-1210
Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates

Over the early twenty-first century, model-derived warming trends exceeded observed warming. Analyses of global-mean tropospheric temperature suggest that these differences are likely to stem from missing external influences in the models.

Benjamin D. Santer
John C. Fyfe
Cheng-Zhi Zou
Research19 Jun 2017
Nature Geoscience

Volume: 10, P: 478-485
The two types of 3-dehydroquinase have distinct structures but catalyze the same overall reaction

David G. Gourley
Annette K. Shrive
Lindsay Sawyer
Research01 Jun 1999
Nature Structural Biology

Volume: 6, P: 521-525
Signalling of the Ret receptor tyrosine kinase through the c-Jun NH₂-terminal protein kinases (JNKs): evidence for a divergence of the ERKs and JNKs pathways induced by Ret

Mario Chiariello
Roberta Visconti
Massimo Santoro
Research02 Jun 1998
Oncogene

Volume: 16, P: 2435-2445
A minimal physical model captures the shapes of crawling cells

How living cells move around is crucial for the understanding of their biological functions. Here, Tjhung et al. reproduce cellular motility via a minimal physical model, whereby a cell in three-dimensions is represented as a droplet of active polar fluid constrained by interfacial tension.

E. Tjhung
A. Tiribocchi
M. E. Cates
Research21 Jan 2015
Nature Communications

Volume: 6, P: 1-9
Pause for thought

The recent slowdown (or 'pause') in global surface temperature rise is a hot topic for climate scientists and the wider public. We discuss how climate scientists have tried to communicate the pause and suggest that 'many-to-many' communication offers a key opportunity to directly engage with the public.

Ed Hawkins
Tamsin Edwards
Doug McNeall
Comments & Opinion26 Feb 2014
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 4, P: 154-156
Enhanced performance in fusion plasmas through turbulence suppression by megaelectronvolt ions

Experiments at the Joint European Torus tokamak show improved thermal ion confinement in the presence of highly energetic ions and Alfvénic instabilities in the plasma.

S. Mazzi
J. Garcia
I. Zychor
Research30 Jun 2022
Nature Physics

Volume: 18, P: 776-782
Wetter then drier in some tropical areas

Ed Hawkins
Manoj Joshi
Dave Frame
Correspondence30 Jul 2014
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 4, P: 646-647
Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels

Climate change projections are usually presented as ‘snapshots’ of change at a particular time in the future. Now a new approach to presenting projections, which should prove useful to policymakers, shows when temperature thresholds might be crossed, shifting the emphasis from ‘what might happen’ to ‘when it might happen’.

Manoj Joshi
Ed Hawkins
David Frame
Reviews23 Oct 2011
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 1, P: 407-412
Climate research must sharpen its view

Human activity is changing Earth's climate. Now that this has been acknowledged and accepted in international negotiations, climate research needs to define its next frontiers.

Jochem Marotzke
Christian Jakob
Matthias Tuma
Comments & Opinion16 Jan 2017
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 7, P: 89-91
Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels

Since the Paris Agreement, the impacts of 1.5 and 2 °C global warming have been emphasized, but the rate of warming also has regional effects. A new framework of model experiments is needed to increase our understanding of climate stabilization and its impacts.

Andrew D. King
J. M. Kale Sniderman
Tilo Ziehn
Comments & Opinion25 Nov 2021
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 11, P: 1010-1013
Author Correction: GWAS and meta-analysis identifies 49 genetic variants underlying critical COVID-19

Erola Pairo-Castineira
Konrad Rawlik
J. Kenneth Baillie
Amendments and CorrectionsOpen Access11 Jul 2023
Nature

Volume: 619, P: E61
Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends

Internal climate variability can mask or enhance human-induced sea-ice loss on timescales ranging from years to decades. It must be properly accounted for when considering observations, understanding projections and evaluating models.

Neil C. Swart
John C. Fyfe
Alexandra Jahn
Comments & Opinion28 Jan 2015
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 5, P: 86-89
Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown

It has been claimed that the early-2000s global warming slowdown or hiatus, characterized by a reduced rate of global surface warming, has been overstated, lacks sound scientific basis, or is unsupported by observations. The evidence presented here contradicts these claims.

John C. Fyfe
Gerald A. Meehl
Neil C. Swart
Comments & Opinion24 Feb 2016
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 6, P: 224-228
Atlantic overturning in decline?

Jon Robson
Dan Hodson
Rowan Sutton
Correspondence23 Dec 2013
Nature Geoscience

Volume: 7, P: 2-3
How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather

Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of transformative, incremental, and reactive adaptation strategies to achieve enhanced resilience.

Timo Kelder
Dorothy Heinrich
Erich M. Fischer
ReviewsOpen Access10 Mar 2025
Nature Communications

Volume: 16, P: 1-15
Global risk of deadly heat

Climatic conditions that challenge human thermoregulatory capacity currently affect around a quarter of the world’s population annually. Such conditions are projected to increase in line with CO₂ emissions particularly in the humid tropics.

Camilo Mora
Bénédicte Dousset
Clay Trauernicht
Research19 Jun 2017
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 7, P: 501-506
Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate

Near-term climate predictions bridge the gap between seasonal forecasts and long-term projections. This Perspective outlines the challenges and opportunities for near-term climate prediction, highlighting the need for co-ordinated efforts to benefit society.

Yochanan Kushnir
Adam A. Scaife
Bo Wu
Reviews21 Jan 2019
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 9, P: 94-101
A novel nested-PCR strategy for the detection of rearranged immunoglobulin heavy-chain genes in B cell tumors

C Voena
M Ladetto
P Corradini
Research01 Oct 1997
Leukemia

Volume: 11, P: 1793-1798
Interpretations of the Paris climate target

A. P. Schurer
K. Cowtan
S. F. B. Tett
Correspondence19 Mar 2018
Nature Geoscience

Volume: 11, P: 220-221
Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions

This Review examines the pathways through which humans are impacted by climate change and shows that by 2100 the world’s population will be simultaneously exposed to at least three hazards, and in some locations as many as six, under an RCP 8.5 scenario.

Camilo Mora
Daniele Spirandelli
Cynthia L. Hunter
Reviews19 Nov 2018
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 8, P: 1062-1071
Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change

This Review considers recent advances in our understanding of regional climate change, critically discusses outstanding issues, and recommends targets for future research.

Shang-Ping Xie
Clara Deser
Masahiro Watanabe
Reviews07 Sept 2015
Nature Climate Change

Volume: 5, P: 921-930
Disruption prediction with artificial intelligence techniques in tokamak plasmas

Tokamak plasmas are prone to sudden collapses that terminate the nuclear fusion reactions. This perspective discusses the prediction of these so-called disruptions with artificial intelligence techniques.

J. Vega
A. Murari
I. Zychor
Reviews06 Jun 2022
Nature Physics

Volume: 18, P: 741-750
Breast cancer management pathways during the COVID-19 pandemic: outcomes from the UK ‘Alert Level 4’ phase of the B-MaP-C study

Rajiv V. Dave
Baek Kim
Zaid Al-Ishaq
ResearchOpen Access25 Mar 2021
British Journal of Cancer

Volume: 124, P: 1785-1794
Hair glucocorticoids are associated with childhood adversity, depressive symptoms and reduced global and lobar grey matter in Generation Scotland

Claire Green
Aleks Stolicyn
Heather C. Whalley
ResearchOpen Access12 Oct 2021
Translational Psychiatry

Volume: 11, P: 1-9

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