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Showing 1–12 of 12 results
Advanced filters: Author: Francisco Doblas-Reyes Clear advanced filters

  • Understanding how climate change has shaped past high impact events requires reliable probabilities of extreme event occurrences. This study demonstrates how often overlooked techniques from weather forecasting can yield more reliable assessments of climate change impacts.

    • Omar Bellprat
    • Virginie Guemas
    • Markus G. Donat
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 10, P: 1-7

  • Near-term climate prediction is an information tool used in climate adaptation services. This study analyses the quality of the predictions, showing that near-term climate forecasts have good skill in predicting temperature at regional scales, where most of the skill is attributed to atmospheric composition changes.

    • F. J. Doblas-Reyes
    • I. Andreu-Burillo
    • G. J. van Oldenborgh
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 4, P: 1-9

  • Societal exposure to large fires has been increasing in recent years and fire forecasting is required for fire management strategies. Here the authors use seasonal climate models to provide skilful predictions of global fire activity.

    • Marco Turco
    • Sonia Jerez
    • Antonello Provenzale
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 9, P: 1-9

  • In recent years the global warming trend has plateaued, despite increasing anthropogenic emissions. Now research attributes this plateau to an increase in ocean heat uptake, through retrospective predictions of up to 5 years in length. The ability to hindcast this warming plateau strengthens our confidence in the robustness of climate models.

    • Virginie Guemas
    • Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
    • Muhammad Asif
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 3, P: 649-653

  • The rapid emergence of deep learning is attracting growing private interest in the traditionally public enterprise of numerical weather and climate prediction. A public–private partnership would be a pioneering step to bridge between physics- and data-based methods, and necessary to effectively address future societal challenges.

    • Peter Bauer
    • Peter Dueben
    • Bjorn Stevens
    Comments & Opinion
    Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
    Volume: 4, P: 507-509

  • To date, values are not widely acknowledged or discussed within physical climate science. Yet, effective management of values in physical climate science is required for the benefit of both science and society.

    • Karoliina Pulkkinen
    • Sabine Undorf
    • Erica Thompson
    Comments & Opinion
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 12, P: 4-6

  • Near-term climate predictions bridge the gap between seasonal forecasts and long-term projections. This Perspective outlines the challenges and opportunities for near-term climate prediction, highlighting the need for co-ordinated efforts to benefit society.

    • Yochanan Kushnir
    • Adam A. Scaife
    • Bo Wu
    Reviews
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 9, P: 94-101

  • Initialized climate predictions offer distinct benefits for multiple stakeholders. This Review discusses initialized prediction on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S), seasonal to interannual (S2I) and seasonal to decadal (S2D) timescales, highlighting potential for skilful predictions in the years to come.

    • Gerald A. Meehl
    • Jadwiga H. Richter
    • Shang-Ping Xie
    Reviews
    Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
    Volume: 2, P: 340-357

  • The atmospheric circulation over the North Pacific and North Atlantic oceans responds to Arctic sea ice loss on decadal scales, which leads to drier winters in the southwestern US and wetter winters in the western Mediterranean region, suggest analyses of global climate model simulations.

    • Ivana Cvijanovic
    • Amelie Simon
    • Desislava Petrova
    ResearchOpen Access
    Communications Earth & Environment
    Volume: 6, P: 1-12