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Showing 1–7 of 7 results
Advanced filters: Author: Geert Lenderink Clear advanced filters

  • Warming induced by greenhouse gases will increase the amount of moisture in the atmosphere, causing heavier rainfall events. Changing atmospheric circulation dynamics are now shown to either amplify or weaken regional increases, contributing to uncertainty in future precipitation extremes.

    • Geert Lenderink
    • Hayley J. Fowler
    News & Views
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 7, P: 391-393

  • Climate model projections of future precipitation extremes in the tropics are highly uncertain. Observations of year-to-year variations in extremes of present-day climate help to narrow down these projections to a rise in extreme rainfall by 6–14% per °C of warming.

    • Geert Lenderink
    News & Views
    Nature Geoscience
    Volume: 5, P: 689-690

  • Theory predicts that hourly rainfall extremes may increase with anthropogenic warming. Observations from Australia suggest changes two to three times above the Clausius–Clapeyron rate, above that expected from natural variability.

    • Selma B. Guerreiro
    • Hayley J. Fowler
    • Xiao-Feng Li
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 8, P: 803-807

  • Changes in precipitation extremes under greenhouse warming are commonly assumed to be constrained by the Clausius–Clapeyron relationship, implying an increase in extreme precipitation of 7% per degree of climate warming. An analysis of 99 years of observations along with simulations with a regional climate model show that short-duration precipitation extremes can instead increase in severity twice as fast, by 14% per degree of warming.

    • Geert Lenderink
    • Erik van Meijgaard
    Research
    Nature Geoscience
    Volume: 1, P: 511-514

  • Short-duration rainfall extremes are determined by complex processes that are affected by the warming climate. This Review assesses the evidence for the intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes, the associated drivers and the implications for flood risks.

    • Hayley J. Fowler
    • Geert Lenderink
    • Xuebin Zhang
    Reviews
    Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
    Volume: 2, P: 107-122