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Showing 1–6 of 6 results
Advanced filters: Author: Halvard Buhaug Clear advanced filters

  • A predictive study of global flood impacts from 2000 to 2018 finds that democracy, institutional quality, and especially peace, reduce the predicted human cost of flooding, highlighting the importance of achieving SDG16 for mitigating disaster risk.

    • Paola Vesco
    • Nina von Uexkull
    • Halvard Buhaug
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 16, P: 1-12

  • Climate action is shaped as much by politics as by technology and economics. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), central to mitigation and adaptation assessments, do not yet include a quantitative representation of political development. We outline a research agenda to systematically integrate political dimensions into climate scenario modelling.

    • Julia Leininger
    • Halvard Buhaug
    • Elina Brutschin
    Comments & OpinionOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 17, P: 1-3

  • Adverse climatic conditions are commonly reported to shape asylum migration, but their effect relative to other drivers is unknown. Here the authors compare climatic, economic, and political factors as predictors of future asylum flows to the EU and find that war and repression are the most important factors.

    • Sebastian Schutte
    • Jonas Vestby
    • Halvard Buhaug
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 12, P: 1-10

  • Climate has affected organized armed conflict within countries, and intensifying climate change is estimated to increase future risks of conflict, although other drivers are substantially more influential and the mechanisms of climate–conflict linkages remain uncertain.

    • Katharine J. Mach
    • Caroline M. Kraan
    • Nina von Uexkull
    Research
    Nature
    Volume: 571, P: 193-197