Advanced search

Filter By:

Journal Check one or more journals to show results from those journals only.

Choose more journals

Article type Check one or more article types to show results from those article types only.
Subject Check one or more subjects to show results from those subjects only.
Date Choose a date option to show results from those dates only.

Custom date range

Clear all filters
Sort by:
Showing 1–2 of 2 results
Advanced filters: Author: Jannik Deuschel Clear advanced filters

  • Forecasting models have been used extensively to inform decision making during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this preregistered and prospective study, the authors evaluated 14 short-term models for Germany and Poland, finding considerable heterogeneity in predictions and highlighting the benefits of combined forecasts.

    • J. Bracher
    • D. Wolffram
    • Frost Tianjian Xu
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 12, P: 1-16

  • Bracher et al. compare 15 forecasting models of COVID-19 cases and deaths in Germany and Poland between January and mid-April 2021. Many, though not all, models outperform a simple baseline model up to four weeks ahead, with ensemble methods showing very good relative performance.

    • Johannes Bracher
    • Daniel Wolffram
    • Melanie Schienle
    ResearchOpen Access
    Communications Medicine
    Volume: 2, P: 1-17