African swine fever (ASF) is diminishing pork production in East Asia, especially China, but the global economic costs of ASF are unclear. Mason-D’Croz et al. model the effect of Chinese ASF outbreak scenarios on the global pork market, predicting pork, beef and poultry price increases and a decline in per capita calorie intake in China.
- Daniel Mason-D’Croz
- Jessica R. Bogard
- H. Charles J. Godfray