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Showing 1–38 of 38 results
Advanced filters: Author: Marten Scheffer Clear advanced filters

  • Empirical data suggest that species abundance distributions can have multiple modes, which is not predicted by existing theories. This study shows that the multimodal pattern is consistent with emergent neutrality, suggesting this theory could have a role in shaping natural communities.

    • Remi Vergnon
    • Egbert H. van Nes
    • Marten Scheffer
    Research
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 3, P: 1-6

  • Self-organized patterns at multiple spatial scales are widespread in nature, although little is known about their effect on ecosystem functioning. Here, Liu et al.show how two self-organization processes at individual and ecosystem scale interact to increase the resilience of intertidal mussel beds.

    • Quan-Xing Liu
    • Peter M. J. Herman
    • Johan van de Koppel
    Research
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 5, P: 1-7

  • Theory suggests that the risk of critical transitions in complex systems can be revealed by generic indicators. A lab study of extinction in plankton populations provides experimental support for that principle. See Letter p. 456

    • Marten Scheffer
    News & Views
    Nature
    Volume: 467, P: 411-412

    • Rong Wang
    • John A. Dearing
    • Marten Scheffer
    Research
    Nature
    Volume: 498, P: E12-E13

  • Bollen et al. tracked changes in the emotions of Twitter users before and after they expressed a feeling online. Emotions grow quickly before—and decrease rapidly after—their expression, confirming previous affect labeling studies showing that putting one’s feelings into words can alleviate their intensity.

    • Rui Fan
    • Onur Varol
    • Johan Bollen
    Research
    Nature Human Behaviour
    Volume: 3, P: 92-100

  • Remote sensing of tropical forest activity indicates that temporal autocorrelation—an indicator of slow recovery from stress—rises steeply as precipitation falls sufficiently. This offers some support for a tipping point for forest collapse.

    • Jan Verbesselt
    • Nikolaus Umlauf
    • Marten Scheffer
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 6, P: 1028-1031

  • Although the correlation between greenhouse gases and temperature is well documented, it is difficult to show causality from the data. This study uses insight from dynamical systems theory to show that internal Earth system mechanisms largely control climate dynamics, rather than orbital forcing, and temperature does have a reinforcing feedback on greenhouse-gas concentrations.

    • Egbert H. van Nes
    • Marten Scheffer
    • George Sugihara
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 5, P: 445-448

  • Critical transitions in experimental and theoretical systems can be anticipated on the basis of specific warning signs, with ‘critical slowing down’ being the best studied; long-term data from a real system, a Chinese lake, now show that a flickering phenomenon can be observed up to 20 years before the critical transition to a eutrophic state.

    • Rong Wang
    • John A. Dearing
    • Marten Scheffer
    Research
    Nature
    Volume: 492, P: 419-422

  • Climatic warming is intensifying the global water cycle, and is projected to increase rainfall variability. Higher interannual variability in rainfall is shown to reduce tree cover in the wet tropics, but may promote expansion of cover in tropical dry lands.

    • Milena Holmgren
    • Marina Hirota
    • Marten Scheffer
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 3, P: 755-758

  • Decreased rates of recovery from perturbations, or critical slowing down, are demonstrated in a living system, indicating that recovery rates can be used to probe the resilience of complex systems.

    • Annelies J. Veraart
    • Elisabeth J. Faassen
    • Marten Scheffer
    Research
    Nature
    Volume: 481, P: 357-359

  • Boreal forests are expanding at high latitudes yet declining at their southern boundaries. Here, the authors show that such trends are not symmetrical in North America, where poleward expansion of boreal forests did not offset southern declines often linked to wildfires and logging.

    • Ronny Rotbarth
    • Egbert H. Van Nes
    • Milena Holmgren
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 14, P: 1-13

  • As an alternative to monetary estimates, this study expresses the costs of climate change in terms of numbers of people left outside the ‘human climate niche’, which reflects the historically highly conserved distribution of human population density relative to mean annual temperature.

    • Timothy M. Lenton
    • Chi Xu
    • Marten Scheffer
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Sustainability
    Volume: 6, P: 1237-1247

  • We find that justice considerations constrain the integrated Earth system boundaries more than safety considerations for climate and atmospheric aerosol loading, and our assessment provides a foundation for safeguarding the global commons for all people.

    • Johan Rockström
    • Joyeeta Gupta
    • Xin Zhang
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature
    Volume: 619, P: 102-111

  • Theory and controlled experiments have shown that the recovery rate of an ecological variable from perturbation slows down before a critical tipping point. Here, van Belzen and colleagues demonstrate that slowed vegetation recovery to disturbance is also apparent in the natural system of a tidal marsh.

    • Jim van Belzen
    • Johan van de Koppel
    • Tjeerd J. Bouma
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 8, P: 1-7

  • Tree transpiration in the Amazon enhances downwind rainfall. Research now shows that approximately one-third of Amazon rainfall originates within its own basin, with the southern half of the basin contributing most to this effect.

    • Arie Staal
    • Obbe A. Tuinenburg
    • Stefan C. Dekker
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 8, P: 539-543

  • Intestinal microbes can have important effects on our health. Here, the authors analyse the gut microbiota composition in 1,000 western adults and find that certain bacteria are either abundant or nearly absent, and that these alternative states are associated with ageing and overweight.

    • Leo Lahti
    • Jarkko Salojärvi
    • Willem M. de Vos
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 5, P: 1-10

  • Identifying and quantifying planetary boundaries that must not be transgressed could help prevent human activities from causing unacceptable environmental change, argue Johan Rockström and colleagues.

    • Johan Rockström
    • Will Steffen
    • Jonathan A. Foley
    Special Features
    Nature
    Volume: 461, P: 472-475

  • Stratospheric injection of sulphate aerosols has been advocated as an emergency geoengineering measure to tackle dangerous climate change, or as a stop-gap until atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are reduced. But it may not prove to be the game-changer that some imagine.

    • Scott Barrett
    • Timothy M. Lenton
    • Aart de Zeeuw
    Comments & Opinion
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 4, P: 527-529

  • Land-use and climate changes can reduce the resilience of river deltas to regime shifts in channel morphodynamics, estuarine turbidity and the state of coastal wetlands. This Review discusses how these regime shifts can be triggered, monitored and prevented.

    • Roeland C. van de Vijsel
    • Marten Scheffer
    • Antonius J. F. Hoitink
    Reviews
    Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
    Volume: 5, P: 843-858

  • A varied repertoire of responses helps manage fluctuations, as in markets. This Perspective argues that society needs to strengthen the diversity of options for responding to disruptions, exploring how this response diversity is expressed, how it can be built and lost, and what we can do to promote it.

    • Brian Walker
    • Anne-Sophie Crépin
    • Jeffrey R. Vincent
    Reviews
    Nature Sustainability
    Volume: 6, P: 621-629

  • Climate memory is anticipated to increase in the future, a process known as reddening. This Perspective examines how a change in the temporal autocorrelation of climate variables may impact the likelihood of critical transitions, using examples from forests, coral reefs, poverty traps and ice sheets.

    • Bregje van der Bolt
    • Egbert H. van Nes
    • Marten Scheffer
    Reviews
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 8, P: 478-484

  • Transnational corporations control large proportions of the industries and commodities that directly and indirectly impact the environment. Here, the authors discuss the problems, but also potential benefits, of such consolidation for sustainability.

    • Carl Folke
    • Henrik Österblom
    • Aart de Zeeuw
    Reviews
    Nature Ecology & Evolution
    Volume: 3, P: 1396-1403

  • Evolutionary change in trait variation has the potential to affect the ecosystem tipping points that are of concern in a world undergoing anthropogenic change.

    • Vasilis Dakos
    • Blake Matthews
    • Luc De Meester
    Reviews
    Nature Ecology & Evolution
    Volume: 3, P: 355-362

  • Questions of causality are ubiquitous in Earth system sciences and beyond, yet correlation techniques still prevail. This Perspective provides an overview of causal inference methods, identifies promising applications and methodological challenges, and initiates a causality benchmark platform.

    • Jakob Runge
    • Sebastian Bathiany
    • Jakob Zscheischler
    ReviewsOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 10, P: 1-13