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Showing 1–18 of 18 results
Advanced filters: Author: Michel den Elzen Clear advanced filters
  • Breaking away from the utopian assumption that the international community will agree on a single emissions allocation scheme, this study assesses approaches to setting country-level mitigation targets in line with the 2 °C goal.

    • Malte Meinshausen
    • Louise Jeffery
    • Nicolai Meinshausen
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 5, P: 1098-1106
  • To evaluate the effectiveness of current national policies in achieving global temperature targets is important but a systematic multi-model evaluation is still lacking. Here the authors identified a reduction of 3.5 GtCO2 eq of current national policies relative to a baseline scenario without climate policies by 2030 due to the increasing low carbon share of final energy and the improving final energy intensity.

    • Mark Roelfsema
    • Heleen L. van Soest
    • Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 11, P: 1-12
  • Fair climate targets aligned with the Paris Agreement can be calculated in multiple ways, yielding diverse outcomes. Researchers unpack how equity, global strategies and political and social uncertainties shape fair share allocations, using them to assess nationally determined contributions and guide global climate finance.

    • Mark M. Dekker
    • Andries F. Hof
    • Detlef P. van Vuuren
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 15, P: 752-759
  • Current pledges for emissions cuts are insufficient to meet the Paris Agreement temperature goal. The wave of net zero targets being discussed and adopted could make the Paris goal possible if further countries follow suit.

    • Niklas Höhne
    • Matthew J. Gidden
    • Joeri Rogelj
    Research
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 11, P: 820-822
  • Moving towards net-zero emissions requires carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies, which bring environmental and socioeconomic risks. This study reveals that demand and technological interventions in hard-to-abate sectors help to achieve net-zero targets with less reliance on CDR.

    • Oreane Y. Edelenbosch
    • Andries F. Hof
    • Detlef P. van Vuuren
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 14, P: 715-722
  • In 2023, national and international climate policy advanced in many areas but also faced substantial domestic hurdles in others. Countries agreed on new global initiatives and many major emitters expanded national climate policies. However, others rolled back existing policies and continued to support fossil fuels, slowing down global progress.

    • Leonardo Nascimento
    • Catrina Godinho
    • Niklas Höhne
    News & Views
    Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
    Volume: 5, P: 255-257
  • Over 100 countries have set or are considering net-zero emissions targets. Here, the authors show that a country’s potential for negative emissions and methodological issues affect when countries can reach net-zero, calling for clear internationally agreed definitions and accounting methods.

    • Heleen L. van Soest
    • Michel G. J. den Elzen
    • Detlef P. van Vuuren
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 12, P: 1-9
  • Comprehensive policy measures are needed to close the emissions gap between Nationally Determined Contributions and emissions goals of the Paris Agreement. Here the authors present a Bridge scenario that may aid in closing the emissions gap by 2030.

    • Heleen L. van Soest
    • Lara Aleluia Reis
    • Detlef P. van Vuuren
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 12, P: 1-10
  • Many countries are formulating a long-term climate strategy to be submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change by 2020. Model-based, multi-disciplinary assessments can be a key ingredient for informing policy makers and engaging stakeholders in this process.

    • Matthias Weitzel
    • Toon Vandyck
    • Bert Saveyn
    Comments & Opinion
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 9, P: 345-347
  • The objective of the Paris climate agreement is to limit global-average temperature increase to well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and to further pursue limiting it to 1.5 degrees Celsius; here, the adequacy of the national plans submitted in preparation for this agreement is assessed, and it is concluded that substantial enhancement or over-delivery on these plans is required to have a reasonable chance of achieving the Paris climate objective.

    • Joeri Rogelj
    • Michel den Elzen
    • Malte Meinshausen
    Reviews
    Nature
    Volume: 534, P: 631-639
  • Steps to enhance countries’ emission pledges – early implementation of existing net-zero pledges, inclusion of all countries, and aiming for net-zero 5 years earlier– can close most of the gap between emissions trends and Paris targets, according to integrated assessment model results.

    • Ioannis Dafnomilis
    • Michel den Elzen
    • Detlef van Vuuren
    ResearchOpen Access
    Communications Earth & Environment
    Volume: 5, P: 1-10