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Showing 1–11 of 11 results
Advanced filters: Author: Sebastian Bathiany Clear advanced filters

  • Rate- and noise-induced transitions pose key tipping risks for ecosystems and climate subsystems, yet no predictive theory existed before. This study introduces deep learning as an effective prediction tool for these tipping events.

    • Yu Huang
    • Sebastian Bathiany
    • Niklas Boers
    ResearchOpen Access
    Nature Machine Intelligence
    Volume: 6, P: 1556-1565

  • A review of observation-based evidence suggests that four interconnected Earth system tipping elements have moved towards their critical thresholds, highlighting the need for better monitoring and increased mitigation efforts.

    • Niklas Boers
    • Teng Liu
    • Taylor Smith
    Reviews
    Nature Geoscience
    Volume: 18, P: 949-960

  • Climate change could drive critical parts of the Earth system past tipping points, causing large-scale, abrupt and/or irreversible changes that harm societies. Here, the authors suggest that satellite remote sensing can play a unique role in helping manage these profound risks, by providing improved early warning of tipping points across scales.

    • Timothy M. Lenton
    • Jesse F. Abrams
    • Niklas Boers
    ReviewsOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 15, P: 1-15

  • Questions of causality are ubiquitous in Earth system sciences and beyond, yet correlation techniques still prevail. This Perspective provides an overview of causal inference methods, identifies promising applications and methodological challenges, and initiates a causality benchmark platform.

    • Jakob Runge
    • Sebastian Bathiany
    • Jakob Zscheischler
    ReviewsOpen Access
    Nature Communications
    Volume: 10, P: 1-13

  • Climate memory is anticipated to increase in the future, a process known as reddening. This Perspective examines how a change in the temporal autocorrelation of climate variables may impact the likelihood of critical transitions, using examples from forests, coral reefs, poverty traps and ice sheets.

    • Bregje van der Bolt
    • Egbert H. van Nes
    • Marten Scheffer
    Reviews
    Nature Climate Change
    Volume: 8, P: 478-484

  • Despite devastating global impacts, a potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation with global warming could lead to cooler and wetter conditions in parts of Amazonia and less rainforest conversion, according to an analysis of climate observations and model projections for the 21st century.

    • Da Nian
    • Sebastian Bathiany
    • Niklas Boers
    ResearchOpen Access
    Communications Earth & Environment
    Volume: 4, P: 1-11