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Similar minds age alike: an MRI similarity approach for predicting age-related cognitive decline
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  • Published: 06 February 2026

Similar minds age alike: an MRI similarity approach for predicting age-related cognitive decline

  • Blanca Zufiria-Gerbolés1,
  • Jiawei Sun1,
  • Jesús Pineda2,
  • Giovanni Volpe2,
  • Mite Mijalkov1 &
  • …
  • Joana B. Pereira1 

npj Aging , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

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Subjects

  • Computational biology and bioinformatics
  • Neuroscience

Abstract

As individuals age, cortical alterations in brain structure contribute to cognitive decline. However, the specific patterns of age-related changes and their impact on cognition remain poorly understood. This study assessed the effects of aging on individual gray matter similarity networks and compared them to anatomical and functional connectivity networks derived from diffusion-weighted imaging and resting-state fMRI, respectively. Our results showed that gray matter similarity networks outperformed anatomical and functional connectivity in predicting age and cognition, showing the earliest age-related changes across the adult lifespan. These networks also demonstrated greater robustness to individual differences in cognition, behavior, and sex. Notably, age-related changes in gray matter similarity were associated with the brain’s underlying cytoarchitecture, being strongest in brain regions from cortical layers II and III. These findings provide a new biological insight into the neural mechanisms of cognitive aging and highlight the potential of individual morphological similarity for capturing complex brain changes across the lifespan.

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Data availability

This study utilized data from two publicly available sources: the Cambridge Centre for Ageing and Neuroscience (Cam-CAN) cohort66 and the LEMON (Leipzig Mind-Brain-Body) cohort76,77 from the Max Planck Institute (as replication cohort). The Cam-CAN dataset, which includes both imaging and behavioral data, can be accessed at camcan-archive.mrccbu.cam.ac.uk/dataaccess/. Similarly, the LEMON dataset is available for public download via an Amazon Web Services S3 bucket at: fcp-indi/data/Projects/INDI/MPI-LEMON. Additional information about the cohorts can be found at and https://fcon_1000.projects.nitrc.org/indi/retro/MPI_LEMON.html.

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Acknowledgements

This research was supported by several funding bodies, including the Swedish Research Council (grant no. 2022-01108), the Alzheimer Foundation, and the Brain Foundation (grant no. 2022-014). Additional support was provided by the European Union–NextGenerationEU and the Romanian Government through Romania’s National Recovery and Resilience Plan (contract no. 760250/28.12.2023, code PNRR-C9-I8-CF109/31.07.2023), administered by the Romanian Ministry of Research, Innovation and Digitalization under Component 9, Investment I8. Further funding was received from the KI Consolidator Grant, KID funding, the King Gustaf V and Queen Victoria’s Foundation, the Foundation for Geriatric Diseases at Karolinska Institutet, Gamla Tjänarinnor, the Stohnes Foundation, and the Lars Hierta Memorial Foundation (awarded to J.B.P.). The data analysis was enabled by resources provided by the National Academic Infrastructure for Supercomputing in Sweden (NAISS), partially funded by the Swedish Research Council through grant agreement no. 2022-06725.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Division of Neuro, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden

    Blanca Zufiria-Gerbolés, Jiawei Sun, Mite Mijalkov & Joana B. Pereira

  2. Department of Physics, Goteborg University, Goteborg, Sweden

    Jesús Pineda & Giovanni Volpe

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  1. Blanca Zufiria-Gerbolés
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Contributions

B.Z. carried out the main analyses, wrote the main manuscript and prepared the figures and tables. J.S. built the individual gray matter similarity networks. J.P. contributed to the development of the architecture of the Graph Neural Networks. G.V. contributed to the design of the methodology to train the deep learning models. M.M contributed to the development and analysis using Parial Least Squares (PLS) models.J.B.P supervised and designed the whole project. All authors reviewed the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Blanca Zufiria-Gerbolés or Joana B. Pereira.

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Zufiria-Gerbolés, B., Sun, J., Pineda, J. et al. Similar minds age alike: an MRI similarity approach for predicting age-related cognitive decline. npj Aging (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41514-026-00345-1

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  • Received: 17 August 2025

  • Accepted: 28 January 2026

  • Published: 06 February 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41514-026-00345-1

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