Abstract
Background
Exposure to heat may increase the risk of intussusception through various mechanisms, including alterations in dietary intake. However, no nationwide studies have examined the association between daily heat exposure and intussusception in children. This study aims to examine the association between higher daily ambient temperatures and intussusception in children.
Methods
The daily number of intussusception hospitalizations among children up to 5 years old from 2011 to 2022 was extracted from Japan’s nationwide administrative claims database. Daily mean temperature data were obtained from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Since the focus is on heat exposure, the analysis examines hospitalizations that occurred during the five warmest months (May to September). A time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional quasi-Poisson regression analysis was applied to estimate the relative risk of heat exposure on intussusception with a lag of 0–4 days.
Results
There were 13,083 cases of intussusception hospitalizations. Higher daily mean temperatures were associated with an elevated risk of intussusception hospitalizations. Specifically, exposure to extremely high daily mean temperatures at the 99th percentile was associated with a 39% increase in hospitalization risk (95% CI: 1.05, 1.83).
Conclusion
The study found the association between higher daily mean temperatures and an increased risk of hospitalization for intussusception. Future research should clarify the mechanisms of the association between higher daily mean temperatures and the increased risk of intussusception hospitalizations.
Impact
-
While exposure to heat may increase the risk of intussusception through mechanisms such as alterations in dietary intake and intestinal motility, no nationwide studies have investigated the association between daily heat exposure and intussusception in children.
-
The study found the association between higher daily mean temperatures and an increased risk of hospitalization for intussusception.
-
Both caregivers and healthcare providers should be aware of a potential increase in pediatric intussusception cases during warmer days, which may become even more critical as climate change results in more frequent and severe heat events.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Access options
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 14 print issues and online access
$259.00 per year
only $18.50 per issue
Buy this article
- Purchase on SpringerLink
- Instant access to the full article PDF.
USD 39.95
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout


Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
Meteorological data are available from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) website.26 The hospitalization data cannot be made available due to confidentiality restrictions.
References
Feng, Y., Zhou, H., Shu, Q. & Li, H. Association of Meteorological Factors with Paediatric Intussusception in Hangzhou: An 8-Year Retrospective Cohort Study. BMJ Open 12, e064967 (2022).
Ito, Y. et al. Japanese Guidelines for the Management of Intussusception in Children, 2011. Pediatr. Int. 54, 948–958 (2012).
Takeuchi, M. et al. Intussusception among Japanese Children: An Epidemiologic Study Using an Administrative Database. BMC Pediatr. 12, 36 (2012).
Tang, X. B., Hu, D. Y., Mu, X. Q. & Bai, Y. Z. Association of Air Temperature with Pediatric Intussusception in Northeastern China: A 10-Year Retrospective Study. Am. J. Emerg. Med. 42, 211–216 (2021).
Das, M. K. Association of Meteorological Parameters with Intussusception in Children Aged under 2 Years: Results from a Multisite Bidirectional Surveillance over 7 Years in India. BMJ Open 11, e043687 (2021).
Chen, S. C. et al. Epidemiology of Childhood Intussusception and Determinants of Recurrence and Operation: Analysis of National Health Insurance Data between 1998 and 2007 in Taiwan. Pediatr. Neonatol. 51, 285–291 (2010).
Jo, S. et al. Characteristics of Intussusception among Children in Korea: A Nationwide Epidemiological Study. BMC Pediatr. 19, 211 (2019).
Buettcher, M., Baer, G., Bonhoeffer, J., Schaad, U. B. & Heininger, U. Three-Year Surveillance of Intussusception in Children in Switzerland. Pediatrics 120, 473–480 (2007).
Sáez-Llorens, X. et al. A Multi-Country Study of Intussusception in Children under 2 Years of Age in Latin America: Analysis of Prospective Surveillance Data. BMC Gastroenterol. 13, 95 (2013).
Nakagomi, T., Takahashi, Y., Arisawa, K. & Nakagomi, O. A High Incidence of Intussusception in Japan as Studied in a Sentinel Hospital over a 25-Year Period (1978-2002). Epidemiol. Infect. 134, 57–61 (2006).
Guo, W. L., Zhang, S. F., Li, J. E. & Wang, J. Association of Meteorological Factors with Pediatric Intussusception in Subtropical China: A 5-Year Analysis. PLoS One 9, e90521 (2014).
Nissan, A. et al. The Contribution of Inflammatory Mediators and Nitric Oxide to Lipopolysaccharide-Induced Intussusception in Mice. J. Surg. Res. 69, 205–207 (1997).
Cunnane, S. C. & Bloom, S. R. Intussusception in the Syrian Golden Hamster. Br. J. Nutr. 63, 231–237 (1990).
Aydin, E., Beşer, O. F., Ozek, E., Sazak, S. & Duras, E. Is There a Causal Relationship between Intussusception and Food Allergy? Children (Basel) 4, 89 (2017).
Takeuchi, M., Oda, Y. & Suzuki, I. Intussusception Secondary to Anaphylactic Reaction to Salmon Roe (Ikura). Pediatr. Int. 55, 649–651 (2013).
IPCC. Summary for Policymakers. In Global Warming of 1.5°C. An Ipcc Special Report on the Impacts of Global Warming of 1.5°C above Pre-Industrial Levels and Related Global Greenhouse Gas Emission Pathways, in the Context of Strengthening the Global Response to the Threat of Climate Change, Sustainable Development, and Efforts to Eradicate Poverty (eds Masson-Delmotte, V. et al.) 3–24 (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, Uk and New York, NY, USA, 2018). https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157940.001.
Terada, S., Nishimura, H., Miyasaka, N. & Fujiwara, T. Ambient Temperature and Preterm Birth: A Case-Crossover Study. Bjog 131, 632–640 (2024).
Nishimura, H., Nawa, N., Ogawa, T., Fushimi, K. & Fujiwara, T. Association of Ambient Temperature and Sun Exposure with Hip Fractures in Japan: A Time-Series Analysis Using Nationwide Inpatient Database. Sci. Total Environ. 807, 150774 (2022).
Miyamura, K., Nawa, N., Nishimura, H., Fushimi, K. & Fujiwara, T. Association between Heat Exposure and Hospitalization for Diabetic Ketoacidosis, Hyperosmolar Hyperglycemic State, and Hypoglycemia in Japan. Environ. Int. 167, 107410 (2022).
Nawa, N., Nishimura, H., Fushimi, K. & Fujiwara, T. Association between Heat Exposure and Kawasaki Disease: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study. Environ. Res. 263, 120231 (2024).
Levy, D., Lumley, T., Sheppard, L., Kaufman, J. & Checkoway, H. Referent Selection in Case-Crossover Analyses of Acute Health Effects of Air Pollution. Epidemiology 12, 186–192 (2001).
Armstrong, B. G., Gasparrini, A. & Tobias, A. Conditional Poisson Models: A Flexible Alternative to Conditional Logistic Case Cross-over Analysis. BMC Med. Res. Methodol. 14, 1–6 (2014).
Hayashida, K., Murakami, G., Matsuda, S. & Fushimi, K. History and Profile of Diagnosis Procedure Combination (Dpc): Development of a Real Data Collection System for Acute Inpatient Care in Japan. J. Epidemiol. 31, 1–11 (2021).
Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan. Estimated Size of Hospitals Subject to Dpc and Hospitals Preparing for Dpc (April 1, 2023), https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/12404000/001089926.pdf (2023).
Vaidyanathan, A. et al. Assessment of Extreme Heat and Hospitalizations to Inform Early Warning Systems. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 116, 5420–5427 (2019).
Japan Meteorological Agency. Historical Weather Data (in Japanese), https://www.data.jma.go.jp/gmd/risk/obsdl/index.php (2023).
Japan Meteorological Agency. Terms Used in Weather Forecasting, Etc. (in Japanese), https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/know/yougo_hp/kion.html (2023).
Maclure, M. The Case-Crossover Design: A Method for Studying Transient Effects on the Risk of Acute Events. Am. J. Epidemiol. 133, 144–153 (1991).
Gasparrini, A., Armstrong, B. & Kenward, M. G. Distributed Lag Non‐Linear Models. Stat. Med. 29, 2224–2234 (2010).
Gasparrini, A. & Armstrong, B. Reducing and Meta-Analysing Estimates from Distributed Lag Non-Linear Models. BMC Med. Res. Methodol. 13, 1 (2013).
Jiang, Y. et al. Non-Optimum Temperature Increases Risk and Burden of Acute Myocardial Infarction Onset: A Nationwide Case-Crossover Study at Hourly Level in 324 Chinese Cities. EClinicalMedicine 50, 101501 (2022).
Fukuda, Y. et al. Characteristics of Intussusception among Children in Hokkaido, Japan, During the Pre- and Post-Rotavirus Vaccine Eras (2007–2016). Acta Paediatr. 112, 868–875 (2023).
Nguyen, S. M. T. et al. Mechanisms Governing Anaphylaxis: Inflammatory Cells, Mediators, Endothelial Gap Junctions and Beyond. Int. J. Mol. Sci. 22, 7785 (2021).
Bertaccini, G., Morini, G. & Coruzzi, G. Different Mechanisms Are Responsible for the Contractile Effects of Histaminergic Compounds on Isolated Intestinal Smooth Muscle Cells. J. Physiol.-Paris 91, 199–202 (1997).
Acknowledgements
During the preparation of this work, the authors used ChatGPT to improve the readability and language of the manuscript. After utilizing this tool, the authors reviewed and edited the content as necessary and take full responsibility for the content of the published article.
Funding
This work was supported by Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development (SATREPS) in collaboration between Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST, JPMJSA2402) and Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA). The funders had no involvement in the research or the preparation of the paper, including the study design, data collection, analysis, interpretation, writing of the paper, or the decision to submit the paper for publication.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
N.N., H.N., and T.F. conceptualized the study. All authors contributed to data curation. N.N. performed the formal analysis, interpreted the results, and wrote the first draft of the manuscript. All authors critically reviewed and revised the first draft. All authors approved the final draft of the manuscript. Additionally, all authors had full access to all the data in the study and bear final responsibility for the decision to submit for publication. The corresponding author attests that all listed authors meet the authorship criteria and that no one meeting the criteria has been omitted.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Consent statement
This study was approved by the Medical Research Ethics Committee at Tokyo Medical and Dental University (Institute of Science Tokyo). Patient consent was not required.
Additional information
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Supplementary information
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Nawa, N., Nishimura, H., Fushimi, K. et al. Association between heat exposure and intussusception in children in Japan from 2011 to 2022. Pediatr Res 98, 871–875 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41390-025-03930-4
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Version of record:
Issue date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41390-025-03930-4
This article is cited by
-
Heat exposure impacts the incidence of intussusception in children
Pediatric Research (2025)


