Abstract
The Pearson sample correlation between two biomarkers across a group of individuals can sometimes be much stronger than expected by chance. In the context of psychosis risk, we previously analyzed blood plasma protein data from initial presentations as collected in the North American Prodrome Longitudinal Study 2 (NAPLS2). We found enhanced correlation between proteins SERPINE1 and TIMP1, both promoters of coagulation and inhibitors of remodeling of extracellular matrix (ECM). Participants were unaffected community controls vs. others of clinical high risk. The SERPINE1-TIMP1 correlation was consistently higher in individuals at clinical high risk for psychosis who later converted to a psychotic disorder vs. participants who were nonconverters or unaffected community controls. Here, we extend those findings using data from a larger cohort, the North American Prodrome Longitudinal Study 3 (NAPLS3). Again, the correlation between SERPINE1 and TIMP1 remained higher in psychosis high-risk converters vs. the other groups. In NAPLS3 we added an assay for PLAT (anti-coagulation plasminogen activator strongly inhibited by SERPINE1). Comparing the three NAPLS3 groups we found a decreased correlation between SERPINE1 and PLAT in converters. In summary, the increased correlation of SERPINE1 and TIMP1 in converters is consistent with restricted brain circuit remodeling and increased tendency to coagulation. Rigorous application of permutation testing yielded NAPLS2 vs. NAPLS3 consistency of SERPINE1-TIMP1 correlation patterns with empirical p-value 0.03.
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Data availability
NAPLS2 and NAPLS3 data are in Supplement 12.
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Acknowledgements
This work was supported by National Institutes of Health (NIH) grants U01 MH081902 to Dr. Cannon, P50 MH066286 to Dr. Bearden, U01 MH82022 to Dr. Woods, U01 MH066134 to Dr. Addington, U01 MH081944 to Dr. Cadenhead, U01 MH066069 to Dr. Perkins, R01 MH076989 to Dr. Mathalon, U01 MH081928 to Dr. Stone, and U01 MH081988 to Dr. Walker. Many referee comments greatly improved the focus and precision of the manuscript.
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CJ, DP, and JF designed algorithms and statistical checks and helped write the manuscript; CAB discussed the project a various stages; JA, CEB, KC, TC, BC, MK, DM, LS, WS, EW, SW, and DP had executive roles in clinic management and in writing the manuscript.
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Approval for the NAPLS2 and NAPLS3 projects was obtained by each site by their respective named ethics committees listed below. All methods were performed in accordance with the relevant guidelines and regulations, including obtaining informed consent from all study participants. For IRB details at each site, please see the table in the Supplement 11.
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Protein labels are Official Gene Symbols (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/gene/) in plaintext while genes themselves are in italics. For example, the gene SERPINE1 encodes the protein serpin family E member 1, that is, SERPINE1. Other notable proteins herein are plasminogen activator, tissue type (PLAT); plasminogen activator, urokinase (PLAU); and TIMP metallopeptidase inhibitor 1 (TIMP1). A complete list of symbols and acronyms is in Supplement.
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Jeffries, C.D., Bizon, C.A., Ford, J.R. et al. Correlation networks of blood proteins in the neuroimmunology of schizophrenia—replication and extension. Transl Psychiatry (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41398-026-03934-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41398-026-03934-6


