Table 2 Live tree C at risk from invasive alien pest species and its uncertainty

From: Invasive alien pests threaten the carbon stored in Europe’s forests

Species

Current climate

Future climate

Live tree C at risk

Uncertainty range

Live tree C at risk

Uncertainty range

ALB

387.4

342.2–433.8

376.4

331.7–420.4

PWN

280.9

264.8–297.0

596.2

562.6–629.4

SOD

8.2

1.8–14.7

24.5

5.4–43.5

BBC

2.8

1.1–4.6

4.6

1.7–7.6

PPC

11.6

4.3–18.8

38.6

14.1–63.0

All

686.4

634.6–741.8

1026.9

955.1–1102.4

  1. Uncertainties considered are the local (i.e., within-grid cell) variation in live tree C stocks as well as variation in pest-specific mortality rates. Uncertainties are calculated via bootstrapping, and the 2.5th to 97.5th percentile range is reported. Current climate refers to the period 1950–2000, and future climate to the period 2030–2080 under an RCP 4.5 scenario. Values disregard the effect of pest management and represent unmitigated live tree C impacts in Tg C
  2. ALB: Asian Long-horned Beetle (Anoplophora glabripennis), PWN: Pine Wood Nematode (Bursaphelenchus xylophilus), SOD: Sudden Oak Death (Phytophthora ramorum), BBC: Beech Bleeding Canker (Phytophthora kernoviae), PPC: Pitch Pine Cancer (Fusarium circinatum), All: upper bound of live tree C at risk from all five invasive alien pest species jointly
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