Fig. 9
From: Extremes of summer climate trigger thousands of thermokarst landslides in a High Arctic environment
Modelled decadal retrogressive thaw slump initiation rates for Banks Island (1906–2015) and multimodel mean predictions under RCP4.5 (2016–2095). Red squares are observations based on the Timelapse data. Error bars for hindcast modelling generated using the Hadley CRU dataset52,53 are 95% confidence intervals. Values in the first two decades are affected by constant values appearing in the dataset for the northern part of the island. Future modelled mean and error bars are averages of 100 sets of predictions made with the best-fit relation in Fig. 2d and with 95% confidence intervals
