Fig. 8
From: Enhanced future changes in wet and dry extremes over Africa at convection-permitting scale

Probability distribution of dry spell duration. a, b Present-day duration of dry spells for TRMM and CMORPH observations and R25 and CP4A models; c, d differences in dry spell distribution between 2100 and present day for R25 and CP4A models for Sahel July–August–September (JAS) and Gulf-of-Guinea April–May–June (AMJ). Dry spells are defined as days with <1 mm of rainfall. For CMORPH, the original version 1 of the data (CMORPH-v1, grey dashed) is shown as well as the bias-corrected data (CMORPH, grey solid). Regions are as shown in Fig. 6. All daily data in the given season, in the 10-year period, from all land points in the sub-region are used to calculate the distribution. Stars indicate where future changes are significant at the 1% level compared with year-to-year variability, assessed using bootstrap resampling