Table 1 Highest projected exposure results for all models, scenarios and top 3 regions and communities

From: An integrative climate change vulnerability index for Arctic aviation and marine transportation

Exposure model

Future exposure scenarios

Exposure (excluding outliers)

Future exposure scenarios (excluding outliers)

Regions exposure

Communities exposure

Top RCP 4.5

Top RCP 8.5

Mean baseline

Top mean exposure RCP 4.5

Top mean exposure RCP 8.5

Ranked top 3

Ranked top 3

Rain

2100

2100

0.43

1.04

1.19

(1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Nunavut

(1) Makkovik (2) Rigolet (3) Hopedale

Snow

2040

2040

0.27

0.59

0.59

(1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Nunavut

(1) Puvirnituq (2) Naujaat (3) Grise Fiord

Temperature winter

2100

2100

0.48

1.21

1.32

(1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Inuvialuit

(1) Makkovik (2) Rigolet (3) Hopedale

Temperature summer

2100

2100

0.56

1.32

1.40

(1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Inuvialuit

(1) Makkovik (2) Hopedale (3) Kuujjuaraapik

Sea level rise airport

2040

2040

0.42

0.64

0.66

(1) Nunatsiavut (2) Inuvialuit (3) Nunavut

(1) Makkovik (2) Tuktoyaktuk (3) Hopedale

Sea level rise marine

2040

2040

0.13

0.81

0.82

(1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Nunavut

(1) Pangnirtung (2) Qikiqtarjuaq (3) Tuktoyaktuk

  1. Results are expressed using mean values. Snow, winter and summer temperatures and sea level rise exposure maps, boxplots, and calculated values are available in Supplementary Fig. 2 and Supplementary Data 1