Table 1 Highest projected exposure results for all models, scenarios and top 3 regions and communities
From: An integrative climate change vulnerability index for Arctic aviation and marine transportation
Exposure model | Future exposure scenarios | Exposure (excluding outliers) | Future exposure scenarios (excluding outliers) | Regions exposure | Communities exposure | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Top RCP 4.5 | Top RCP 8.5 | Mean baseline | Top mean exposure RCP 4.5 | Top mean exposure RCP 8.5 | Ranked top 3 | Ranked top 3 | |
Rain | 2100 | 2100 | 0.43 | 1.04 | 1.19 | (1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Nunavut | (1) Makkovik (2) Rigolet (3) Hopedale |
Snow | 2040 | 2040 | 0.27 | 0.59 | 0.59 | (1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Nunavut | (1) Puvirnituq (2) Naujaat (3) Grise Fiord |
Temperature winter | 2100 | 2100 | 0.48 | 1.21 | 1.32 | (1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Inuvialuit | (1) Makkovik (2) Rigolet (3) Hopedale |
Temperature summer | 2100 | 2100 | 0.56 | 1.32 | 1.40 | (1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Inuvialuit | (1) Makkovik (2) Hopedale (3) Kuujjuaraapik |
Sea level rise airport | 2040 | 2040 | 0.42 | 0.64 | 0.66 | (1) Nunatsiavut (2) Inuvialuit (3) Nunavut | (1) Makkovik (2) Tuktoyaktuk (3) Hopedale |
Sea level rise marine | 2040 | 2040 | 0.13 | 0.81 | 0.82 | (1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Nunavut | (1) Pangnirtung (2) Qikiqtarjuaq (3) Tuktoyaktuk |