Table 3 Highest projected vulnerability results for all models, scenarios and top 3 regions and communities
From: An integrative climate change vulnerability index for Arctic aviation and marine transportation
Vulnerability model | Vulnerability future scenarios | Vulnerability (excluding outliers) | Vulnerability future scenarios (excluding outliers) | Regions vulnerability (airport + marine) | Communities vulnerability (airport + marine) | Top vulnerability drivers at baseline | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Top RCP 4.5 | Top RCP 8.5 | Mean baseline | Top mean RCP 4.5 | Top mean RCP 8.5 | Ranked top 3 | Ranked top 3 | ||
Rain airport | 2100 | 2100 | 0.36 | 0.58 | 0.63 | (1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavut (3) Nunavik | (1) Coral Harbor (2) Rigolet (3) Whale Cove | (1) Marine sensitivity (2) Airport sensitivity (3) Disaster sensitivity |
Rain marine | 2100 | 2100 | 0.39 | 0.61 | 0.67 | |||
Snow airport | Equal | 2040 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 0.41 | (1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavut (3) Nunavik/ Inuvialuit | (1) Naujaat (2) Rankin Inlet (3) Coral Harbor | (1) Marine sensitivity (2) Marine sensitivity (3) Marine sensitivity |
Snow marine | 2040 | 2040/ 2070 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 0.44 | |||
Temperature DJF airport | 2100 | 2100 | 0.37 | 0.64 | 0.69 | (1) Nunatsiavut (2) Nunavik (3) Nunavut/ Inuvialuit | (1) Rigolet (2) Coral Harbor (3) Whale Cove | (1) Winter exposure (2) Marine sensitivity (3) Disaster sensitivity |
Temperature DJF marine | 2100 | 2100 | 0.40 | 0.67 | 0.72 | |||
Temperature JJA airport | 2100 | 2100 | 0.41 | 0.69 | 0.72 | (1) Inuvialuit (2) Nunavut (3) Nunavik | (1) Whale Cove (2) Rigolet (3) Baker Lake | (1) Disaster sensitivity (2) Summer exposure (3) Marine sensitivity |
Temperature JJA marine | 2100 | 2100 | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.75 | |||
Sea level rise airport | 2040 | 2040 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.44 | (1) Inuvialuit (2) Nunavut (3) Nunatsiavut | (1) Tuktoyaktuk (2) Kugluktuk (3) Pangnirtung | (1) Marine sensitivity (2) Marine sensitivity (3) Disaster sensitivity |
Sea level rise marine | 2040 | 2040 | 0.28 | 0.53 | 0.53 | |||
