Fig. 6: Modeling framework.

This framework consists of two new data-driven urban simulation models: The Country-Level Urban Buildup Scenario (CLUBS) model estimates national total amounts of new urban land development under various socioeconomic scenarios. The Spatially-Explicit, Long-term, Empirical City developmenT (SELECT) model allocates the national totals, first to subnational regions, and then to 1/8° grid cells according to their estimated development potentials. Both models evolve over time decade by decade. (Gray ovals—model parts; white squares—input data and intermediate output).