Table 4 Peak and Cumulative GHG emissions under three electricity GHG intensity scenarios.
From: Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy
Scenario | Year of peak GHG emissions | Peak annual GHG emissions (Mt)a | Cumulative GHG emissions 2020–2040 (Mt)a |
|---|---|---|---|
DC-Reference- RefEle | 2032 | 799 (baseline) | 15,917 (baseline) |
DC-Reference- HighEle | 2036 | 820 (+2.6%) | 16,182 (+1.7%) |
DC-Reference- LowEle | 2029 | 775 (−3.2%) | 15,414 (−3.2%) |
EX-50%BEV- RefEle | 2035 | 858 (+7.4%) | 16,606 (+4.3%) |
EX-50%BEV- HighEle | 2036 | 894 (+11.9%) | 17,021 (+6.9%) |
EX-50%BEV- LowEle | 2032 | 801 (+0.2%) | 15,820 (−0.6%) |
DC-BEVFC- RefEle | 2028 | 754 (−5.7%) | 15,042 (−5.5%) |
DC-BEVFC- HighEle | 2029 | 763 (−4.6%) | 15,368 (−3.4%) |
DC-BEVFC- LowEle | 2027 | 739 (−7.5%) | 14,423 (−9.4%) |
EX-ICEV- RefEle | 2027 | 714 (−10.7%) | 14,267 (−10.4%) |
EX-ICEV- HighEle | 2027 | 715 (−10.5%) | 14,334 (−9.9%) |
EX-ICEV- LowEle | 2027 | 709 (−11.3%) | 14,137 (−11.2%) |
