Fig. 8: Projections of externally forced changes in temperature (T), precipitation (P) and their temporal variability (Tσ and Pσ) in the tropical Pacific. | Nature Communications

Fig. 8: Projections of externally forced changes in temperature (T), precipitation (P) and their temporal variability (Tσ and Pσ) in the tropical Pacific.

From: More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century

Fig. 8

Forced response over the full (160°E–260°E), East (220°E–260°E), Central (190°E–240°E), West (160°E–220°E) and far West (120°E–160°E) Pacific (all between 5°S and 5°N) in each individual single model initial-condition large ensemble (SMILE) (Δs,F, coloured circles) and the SMILE mean (ΔF, black circle) are shown for the period 2050–2099 (RCP8.5 forcing) as compared to 1950–1999 (historical forcing). The panels show Δs,F and ΔF for a T, b Tσ, c P and d Pσ. Horizontal lines are shown between the East and West Pacific to illustrate the proportional change in each variable. Error bars are computed by bootstrapping 1000 times with the matlab bootci function for the mean (see a note in “Methods” for Tσ and Pσ errorbar calculations).

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