Fig. 3: Global poverty headcounts under ambitious climate policy (SSP2).
From: Combining ambitious climate policies with efforts to eradicate poverty
We show here our projections for the global number of people below the absolute poverty threshold of 1.90 $/day (note the logarithmic scale). The SSP2 baseline (black line) is identical to Fig. 1. For the climate policy scenario the poverty outcomes depend substantially on how the carbon pricing revenue is used (coloured lines) — leading either to a slowdown of poverty reduction or to a trend comparable to the baseline. The solid line represents the central projection of our model; the shaded bands are the 68% prediction intervals (see also caption of Fig. 1).
