Fig. 2: A posteriori probability density for Earth-system sensitivity parameter (ΔT2x, solid blue line).

The posterior density is plotted relative to the prior density (dotted line) and the results from Park and Royer14 (PR2011, dashed black line). At bottom, the points provide median estimates from this study (blue circle) and from Park and Royer14 (black square) and whiskers denote the 5–95% probability ranges.