Fig. 3: Medians and 50 and 90% credible intervals of the ESS model parameter, ΔT2x.

We use as observational constraints CO2 only (top set of shaded blue boxplots), temperature only (middle set of shaded red boxplots), or both CO2 and temperature (bottom set of shaded purple boxplots). Each boxplot shows the 5–95% (light shading) and 25–75% (dark shading) credible ranges and ensemble medians (solid lines). Within each set of boxplots, from top to bottom, the boxplots depict the credible ranges for the experiments using different thresholds for %outbound, starting with %outbound of 50% (top row in each set) and ending with 30% (bottom row in each set).