Table 2 Absolute total deviances between YF reports and within-sample model predictions (for models fitted to all the data) by covariate grouping.

From: Seasonality of agricultural exposure as an important predictor of seasonal yellow fever spillover in Brazil

Covariate groupings

Monthly difference from data (Total YF reports—total model predictions)

Human

NHP

Both

OHA

295.4

249.4

91.3

OHC

440.1

414.8

117.3

OHAC

278.7

260.0

71.2

  1. Results are shown for the best fit model including agricultural (but not climate) seasonality (OHA), climate (but not agricultural) seasonality (OHC) and both forms of seasonality (OHAC).