Fig. 2: The first row shows the consistency between the fitted model and the deaths/seroprevalence data for New York City, South Florida, and Washington Puget Sound.
From: Modeling serological testing to inform relaxation of social distancing for COVID-19 control
Daily critical care cases through July 1. The second row shows the cumulative number of recovered (previously infected) individuals. Red squares show the seroprevalence estimates from Havers et al. in each location16. In the third row, the cumulative deaths are shown, with death data shown in blue squares24. Data are presented as mean (black line) ±1.96 sd (gray bands), calculated from 100 random samples. Gray bands show 95% credible intervals, derived from the last 5000 iterations of converged MCMC chains.
