Table 1 Time of emergence and Common Era rates for global sea level, null site, and 21 North Atlantic sites.

From: Timing of emergence of modern rates of sea-level rise by 1863

Site

Time of emergence

0–1700 CE rate (mm/yr)

1700–2000 CE rate (mm/yr)

1940–2000 CE rate (mm/yr)

Global sea level

1863 (1825–1873)

−0.08 ± 0.05

0.50 ± 0.11

1.43 ± 0.17

New York, Pelham Bay

1872 (1840–1906)

1.14 ± 0.09

2.01 ± 0.22

2.71 ± 0.77

North Carolina, Cedar Island

1874 (1837–1894)

0.80 ± 0.09

1.79 ± 0.22

2.82 ± 0.78

New Jersey, Cape May Courthouse

1880 (1837–1898)

1.44 ± 0.14

2.49 ± 0.24

3.75 ± 0.79

New Jersey, Cheesequake

1889 (1846–1906)

1.28 ± 0.19

2.15 ± 0.31

3.21 ± 0.82

North Carolina, Roanoke Island

1894 (1842–1910)

1.07 ± 0.05

1.93 ± 0.23

2.93 ± 0.82

Florida, Little Manatee River

1897 (1838–1912)

0.35 ± 0.05

1.34 ± 0.24

2.41 ± 0.85

Connecticut, East River Marsh

1897 (1855–1911)

0.95 ± 0.06

1.73 ± 0.27

2.80 ± 0.82

Massachusetts, Wood Island

1906 (1856–1927)

0.54 ± 0.09

1.27 ± 0.26

2.11 ± 0.82

Massachusetts, Barnstable

1908 (1859–1926)

1.33 ± 0.25

2.04 ± 0.38

3.01 ± 0.87

Connecticut, Barn Island

1908 (1860–1926)

0.98 ± 0.19

1.74 ± 0.21

2.80 ± 0.75

Florida, Nassau

1919 (1864–1938)

0.40 ± 0.05

1.04 ± 0.26

2.14 ± 0.84

Nova Scotia, Chezzetcook Inlet

1930 (1895–1944)

1.77 ± 0.12

2.22 ± 0.20

3.27 ± 0.77

Null site

1933 (1877–1961)

−0.08 ± 2.17

0.50 ± 2.19

1.42 ± 2.43

Newfoundland, Big River Marsh

1942 (1900–1959)

0.98 ± 0.05

1.53 ± 0.24

2.39 ± 0.91

Iceland, Vioarholmi

1947 (1882–NYE)

0.63 ± 0.07

1.14 ± 0.30

1.81 ± 0.99

Quebec, Saint-Simeon

1949 (1903–NYE)

0.80 ± 0.10

1.19 ± 0.28

1.94 ± 0.89

Newfoundland, Placentia

1951 (1908–1967)

0.47 ± 0.06

0.98 ± 0.27

1.86 ± 0.89

Denmark, Ho Bugt

1957 (1889–NYE)

0.49 ± 0.11

0.88 ± 0.33

1.53 ± 0.93

Scotland, Loch Laxford

1958 (1891–NYE)

0.06 ± 0.14

0.41 ± 0.33

1.13 ± 0.91

Scotland, Kyle of Tongue

1962 (1890–NYE)

−0.23 ± 0.20

0.14 ± 0.35

0.81 ± 0.92

Greenland, Aasiaat

1963 (1902–NYE)

0.68 ± 0.25

1.02 ± 0.35

1.86 ± 1.09

Greenland, Sisimiut

1964 (1901–NYE)

0.27 ± 0.24

0.61 ± 0.34

1.42 ± 1.08

  1. The time of emergence is the year when the probability reaches 0.90 with an uncertainty range of a lower bound when the probability reaches 0.66 and an upper bound when the probability reaches 0.95. Rates are reported with 2σ uncertainty. Null site is an indicative generic site in northeast Asia (38°N, 127°E) with no instrumental data and far from available proxy data (see Methods). NYE not yet emerged.
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